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Does Pakistan still have a chance to qualify for the semi-finals?

Pakistan kept their semi-final hopes alive after 33 runs win against South Africa. With the points table looking very tight, here is a look at what each of these teams needs to do to qualify for the semi-finals. Former winners Australia has been kicked out of the semi-finals as England qualifies. Let’s take a look at the scenarios of how Pakistan and other teams can qualify for the T20 World Cup 2022 semi-finals.


  • Played: 4
  • Points: 4,
  • NRR: 1.117

Despite the convincing win against South Africa, Pakistan will still need help from outside to qualify for the T20 World Cup 2022. They need to beat Bangladesh, of course, but that won’t be enough if India and South Africa win their matches on Sunday. To qualify, Pakistan will need at least one of these two to happen along with their victory:

  • South Africa either lose or have their game against the Netherlands abandoned. In that case, even though they could finish on a maximum of six points, they will be below Pakistan as they will have two wins to Pakistan’s three. The number of wins is the first tie-breaker between teams, then the net run rate.
  • India loses to Zimbabwe. In that case, Pakistan’s superior net run rate over India will see them through.

South Africa

  • Played: 4
  • Points: 5
  • NRR: 1.441

South Africa needs to beat the Netherlands to qualify. As mentioned above, even if that game is washed out and they end up on six points, they will finish below the winner of the Pakistan-Bangladesh game, as the winner there will have more wins.


  • Played: 4
  • Points: 6
  • NRR: 0.730

Pakistan’s NRR is already better than India’s, so any victory for Pakistan, and any defeat for India, will maintain this NRR hierarchy. That means India needs at least one more point on Sunday to ensure qualification. If India loses, there are two ways they can still qualify:

  • If South Africa loses to the Netherlands
  • Or if Bangladesh beat Pakistan and still finishes below India on NRR.


  • Played: 4
  • Points: 4
  • NRR: -1.276

Given Bangladesh’s terrible NRR, it is almost impossible that they will move past India on the points table. Bangladesh’s only chance is to beat Pakistan and then hope that South Africa gets no more than one point against the Netherlands.


  • Played: 4
  • Points: 3
  • NRR: -0.313

Zimbabwe can get to five points, which means theoretically they can be tied on points with Pakistan, Bangladesh (if their game is washed out), and South Africa (if they lose their last game), but their NRR is too low to make them a serious contender. Even if they beat India by 50 runs, they will need South Africa to lose to the Netherlands by a similar margin, to overhaul South Africa’s NRR.

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